The Fourth Turning: What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny
Product ID: 78584857
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NATIONAL BESTSELLER • Discover the game-changing theory of the cycles of history and what past generations can teach us about living through times of upheaval—with deep insights into the roles that Boomers, Generation X, and Millennials have to play—now with a new preface by Neil Howe. “One of the best efforts to give us an integrated vision of where we are going.”— The Wall Street Journal First comes a High, a period of confident expansion. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion. Then comes an Unraveling, in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis—the Fourth Turning—when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world—and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about how America’s past will predict what comes next. Strauss and Howe base this vision on a provocative theory of American history. The authors look back five hundred years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four twenty-year eras—or “turnings”—that comprise history’s seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. Illustrating this cycle through a brilliant analysis of the post–World War II period, The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively, for this rendezvous with destiny. Review: It's a mind blower - I saw a book report by "the spirited man" on YouTube I really like how it explains everything watch the video before you decide to buy it. Review: Explains a fascinating concept. - The book explains a fascinating concept to forecast the collective future. It requires a slow and attentive reading to follow the reasoning. It is an enriching exercise to read this book.
| Best Sellers Rank | #80,910 in Books ( See Top 100 in Books ) #144 in United States History (Books) #250 in History of Civilization & Culture #285 in Anthropology (Books) |
| Customer Reviews | 4.5 out of 5 stars 5,772 Reviews |
M**I
It's a mind blower
I saw a book report by "the spirited man" on YouTube I really like how it explains everything watch the video before you decide to buy it.
P**C
Explains a fascinating concept.
The book explains a fascinating concept to forecast the collective future. It requires a slow and attentive reading to follow the reasoning. It is an enriching exercise to read this book.
A**R
One Star
Not my cup of tea
D**O
bad printing
Letters are to small. Bad printing.
A**T
Prepare-se
Livro fantástico sobre os ciclos da história. Poderia ter sido escrito ontem. Muito atual e esclarecedor.
A**ー
20年ごとに節目がある
いま、「第四の節目、アメリカの預言」(The Fourth Turning, An American Prophecy) に注目している。このような考えかたもあるのかと、感心し、またちょっと畏怖の念も感じている。この本はおよそいまから20年前に書かれたものであるが、時代の転換期である現代をよく言い表している面が多い。「サイキュラム」という考えかた、そして、「節目」を鵜呑みにする必要はないが、少なくとも、いまは第四の節目「危機」の時代、古い秩序・価値観がくずれ、新しいものにとって置き換えられる時代、新しい価値観が植え付けられる時代の曲がり角にいる、ということを頭の片隅にいれておかねばならないかもしれない。
U**E
Löste sig till slut
Uppdatering till min tidigare recension. Boken kom fram till slut efter lång leveranstid och betald tullavgift. Blev kontaktad av säljaren och fick tullavgiften återbetald vilket var bra gjort och snabbt hanterat. Plus för hanteringen av Book Depository, men segt att beställa om varorna först ska fastna i tullen. Amazon.se borde vara tydligare kring detta.
J**N
Informative -- but a question about the fourth turning's Crisis climax
The book is highly informative and indeed provides the broad contours of what was to come in the 2000s as and 2010s. It's fascinating to go back in time and try to understand the view of the present 30 years in the past. The 'catalyst' that occurs at or near the beginning of the fourth turning (after the Unraveling has fully unraveled) I took to be the Great Financial Crisis circa 2008/09. The climax, some have suggested, is the pandemic and broad social upheaval that has accompanied it. I don't think that's the case, and the climax has yet to arrive. The book predicts the end-event(s) of the fourth turning would occur anywhere between 2020 and 2026 -- and recall, each of the previous fourth-turning climaxes were man-made *socially* transformative events, mostly wars (Revolution, Civil etc). You could make an argument that Jan. 6 is perhaps the transformative climax of this turning, but it's not a convincing one. I would love to get the surviving author's opinion on whether or not the Crisis climax is yet to come, and whether he foresees the turning ending well, or badly. Both outcomes are possible as the book says; one will lead to a new optimistic and productive High period (post-WW2 boom) the other toward a new 'first turning' that will be quite different than our current era, and not for the better for most of us.
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