---
product_id: 264647003
title: "Higher Probability Commodity Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Commodity Market Analysis, Strategy Development, and Risk Management Techniques Aimed at Favorably Shifting the Odds of Success"
price: "$41.00"
currency: USD
in_stock: true
reviews_count: 13
url: https://www.desertcart.us/products/264647003-higher-probability-commodity-trading-a-comprehensive-guide-to-commodity-market
store_origin: US
region: United States of America
---

# Higher Probability Commodity Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Commodity Market Analysis, Strategy Development, and Risk Management Techniques Aimed at Favorably Shifting the Odds of Success

**Price:** $41.00
**Availability:** ✅ In Stock

## Quick Answers

- **What is this?** Higher Probability Commodity Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Commodity Market Analysis, Strategy Development, and Risk Management Techniques Aimed at Favorably Shifting the Odds of Success
- **How much does it cost?** $41.00 with free shipping
- **Is it available?** Yes, in stock and ready to ship
- **Where can I buy it?** [www.desertcart.us](https://www.desertcart.us/products/264647003-higher-probability-commodity-trading-a-comprehensive-guide-to-commodity-market)

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- Customers looking for quality international products

## Why This Product

- Free international shipping included
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## Description

Winner of a TraderPlanet STARR award for Best Trading Book of 2016! Higher Probability Commodity Trading takes readers on an unprecedented journey through the treacherous commodity markets; shedding light on topics rarely discussed in trading literature from a unique perspective, with the intention of increasing the odds of success for market participants. In its quest to guide traders through the process of commodity market analysis, strategy development, and risk management, Higher Probability Commodity Trading discusses several alternative market concepts and unconventional views such as option selling tactics, hedging futures positions with options, and combining the practice of fundamental, technical, seasonal, and sentiment analysis to gauge market price changes. Carley Garner, is a frequent contributor of commodity market analysis to CNBC's Mad Money TV show hosted by Jim Cramer. She has also been a futures and options broker, where for over a decade she has had a front row seat to the victories and defeats the commodity markets deal to traders. Garner has a knack for portraying complex commodity trading concepts, in an easy-to-read and entertaining format. Readers of Higher Probability Commodity Trading are sure to walk away with a better understanding of the futures and options market, but more importantly with the benefit of years of market lessons learned without the expensive lessons.

Review: Very realistic reading content with great insight - a must read for novice and experienced traders. - It is the title that caught my attention. I have had some experience trading commodity futures. I decided to purchase it. Carley's writing stands apart because she has focused on providing her insight throughout the book as she brings in subject matter chapter by chapter in a methodical, incremental and meaningful way. This insight is based on her own experience in Commodity trading. Second things is: I felt that Carley was there reminding me of the big picture throughout the book (as it is easy to forget it when lost I details) even as she took me through necessary details of technical and fundamental analysis, seasonal tendencies of commodities, commitment of traders reports, trading strategies, heging, risk management, Margin considerations etc,. She has given all the details of trading basics in fact. Next, in addition to giving the background-knowledge (static) for commodity trading Carley has given specific information (dynamic) how to keep up to date with the latest commodity reports, news and analysis by reading what her experience has taught her as the best and most reputed publications like HighTower publication. Carley sheds extra light even on seemingly familiar activities like put writing. It was an eye opener and a very big one at that when I learned that the huge bid/ask spread created on far out of the money put spreads when the stock market melted down in 2015 could have killed traders who sold many such spreads thinking such spreads are safe in that one can always get out in a reasonable way! I feel that Carley's book does complete justice to its title in that provides practical knowledge to recognize high probability trading. There is also enough subtle humor in the book. Last but not the least I will say there are two whole chapters on tips and tricks and how to use it based on our own personality where she also talks about psychology of trading, ego battles with the market, problems of overtrading and practical tips on how to avoid it, etc,. I loved reading the chapters: 'Thinking outside the Box' and 'The Hidden Gems of Commodity Trading'. I finished reading this book and I must say it has also had a cleansing and detoxifying effect on me and I must say I am lucky to have done it two days before the most watched election.
Review: Amazing read - I highly recommend this book. It’s extremely well written and an absolute joy to read. I’ve always had a passion for the commodities space and this book has put me on a course of life-long discovery. The perfect mix of technical detail and global macro perspective. I highly recommend reading this book if you desire a comprehensive and creative viewpoint of the commodity landscape.

## Technical Specifications

| Specification | Value |
|---------------|-------|
| Best Sellers Rank | #731,490 in Books ( See Top 100 in Books ) #133 in Futures Trading (Books) #317 in Options Trading (Books) #1,221 in Introduction to Investing |
| Customer Reviews | 4.5 out of 5 stars 280 Reviews |

## Images

![Higher Probability Commodity Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Commodity Market Analysis, Strategy Development, and Risk Management Techniques Aimed at Favorably Shifting the Odds of Success - Image 1](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/71aRISi5MJL.jpg)

## Customer Reviews

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Very realistic reading content with great insight - a must read for novice and experienced traders.
*by M***Y on November 7, 2016*

It is the title that caught my attention. I have had some experience trading commodity futures. I decided to purchase it. Carley's writing stands apart because she has focused on providing her insight throughout the book as she brings in subject matter chapter by chapter in a methodical, incremental and meaningful way. This insight is based on her own experience in Commodity trading. Second things is: I felt that Carley was there reminding me of the big picture throughout the book (as it is easy to forget it when lost I details) even as she took me through necessary details of technical and fundamental analysis, seasonal tendencies of commodities, commitment of traders reports, trading strategies, heging, risk management, Margin considerations etc,. She has given all the details of trading basics in fact. Next, in addition to giving the background-knowledge (static) for commodity trading Carley has given specific information (dynamic) how to keep up to date with the latest commodity reports, news and analysis by reading what her experience has taught her as the best and most reputed publications like HighTower publication. Carley sheds extra light even on seemingly familiar activities like put writing. It was an eye opener and a very big one at that when I learned that the huge bid/ask spread created on far out of the money put spreads when the stock market melted down in 2015 could have killed traders who sold many such spreads thinking such spreads are safe in that one can always get out in a reasonable way! I feel that Carley's book does complete justice to its title in that provides practical knowledge to recognize high probability trading. There is also enough subtle humor in the book. Last but not the least I will say there are two whole chapters on tips and tricks and how to use it based on our own personality where she also talks about psychology of trading, ego battles with the market, problems of overtrading and practical tips on how to avoid it, etc,. I loved reading the chapters: 'Thinking outside the Box' and 'The Hidden Gems of Commodity Trading'. I finished reading this book and I must say it has also had a cleansing and detoxifying effect on me and I must say I am lucky to have done it two days before the most watched election.

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Amazing read
*by B***A on June 21, 2025*

I highly recommend this book. It’s extremely well written and an absolute joy to read. I’ve always had a passion for the commodities space and this book has put me on a course of life-long discovery. The perfect mix of technical detail and global macro perspective. I highly recommend reading this book if you desire a comprehensive and creative viewpoint of the commodity landscape.

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐ high level introductory guide
*by R***L on June 6, 2020*

Read this book recently. Here are a few thoughts: 1. It has lots of good ideas which are practical and common sense. 2. The most useful part of this book is how to read and interpret COT reports. This is very important. 3. It is a beginners guide and has lots of generic information on the various types of commodity trading and strategies including trend following, counter trend, fundamentals etc. She has a bias against trend following which is understandable but the logic provided is not accurate. She leans on band trading ( bollinger bands) but has not mentioned the caveats of Bollinger Band and when it does not work... e,g sliding of bands is very common and you would have lost a fortune if you followed counter trending recently. She mentions stop loss is a bad idea and provides alternatives. What happens if there is price shocks like the recent energy price collapse.. Trend Following would have been better than counter trending or perhaps staying in the sidelines. There are times each of these methods work and there are times they don't work at all. 4. Risk control and risk management concepts are covered at a high level. Position Sizing guideline is too generic. Probability and risk are not covered at all and this is where the title of the book misses its mark. 5. She does cover a great deal in psychology of trading and constant advice on de-leverage and smaller contracts ( mini contracts ) which are very insightful. 6. There are lots of interesting quotes in the book ( from Bruce Lee, Bogle, Warren Buffet, Einstein, Soros ) which makes the book a very entertaining read.. loved a few them and laughed. but they have no context to commodity trading. If you are serious about trading, I don't think this book will help you at all but it does provide a good overall perspective of what's out there.

## Frequently Bought Together

- Higher Probability Commodity Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Commodity Market Analysis, Strategy Development, and Risk Management Techniques Aimed at Favorably Shifting the Odds of Success
- Trading Commodity Options...with Creativity: When, why, and how to develop strategies to improve the odds in any market environment and risk-reward profile
- A Trader's First Book on Commodities: Everything You Need to Know about Futures and Options Trading Before Placing a Trade

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*Product available on Desertcart United States of America*
*Store origin: US*
*Last updated: 2026-06-18*